Editor's Note: Some time ago, Chris proposed the idea of having a series of articles showcasing a demonstration game of the 1900 variant, with commentary from observers. He's managed to put together a truly stellar group of players for it! In this initial installment Chris introduces the players, explains how he managed power assignment, and presents us with the results from the opening year. Game Start: Winter 1899 |
There are 39 supply centers on the 1900 map, but the victory condition remains 18. This means that a draw in 1900 requires at least three countries, since two cannot split the board without one of them reaching 18 centers and winning outright. So let's meet our cast of characters.
As you can see, this field of players is very strong. They all have both lots of experience and lots of success in this variant. This is a great group to showcase the 1900 variant with to a larger audience. Great Power SelectionIn this game, I simultaneously considered the top choice from each player's submitted preference list:
I simultaneously considered the top choice from each player's submitted preference list. Since Wayne is the only player who had Britain as his top choice, he is automatically assigned that power. Similarly, Chris is assigned Austria-Hungary; Robert is assigned Italy and Lynn is assigned Germany.
Jonas and Mike both had Russia as their top choice. Thus, I randomly assign one of them Russia; a coin toss works perfectly. Mike won the toss won the coin toss and was assigned Russia. I was now done with consideration of the top choice from each player's submitted preference list. I crossed off the powers which have been assigned thus far. This produces the following list of players and their preference lists:
Jonas was now assigned his top remaining power, Turkey. JT, who asked for a random power assignment, is assigned France, the final power. The outcome, using this method for the given example, may be summarized as follows:
Note that five players received their first choice for power assignment and that the "average player" received better than his second choice. No player received anything worse than his third choice. I think that worked out pretty well. Spring 1900 |
HEADLINES:
PUBLIC PRESS:Paris: The French government announced today a defensive redeployment of forces in response to indications of impending troop movements throughout Europe. "It is with regret that we consider such a mobilization necessary," stated the President, "but various diplomatic channels are warning of a coming storm." The President, obviously troubled by the threat to peace on the continent, went on to say; "It is our greatest hope that cooler heads will prevail, and that this current crisis will pass before blood is shed and war engulfs us all." Baltimore Times-Herald (Spring 1900 edition):
Nicolas Winthrop reporting from Madrid ORDERS:Austria-Hungary: A Vie-Tri, A Bud-Gal (fails), A Tri-Ser Charles: This is a slightly non-standard opening for Austria in 1900 (see the discussion in the Austrian section of the Gamer's Guide to 1900). It looks like the Archduke expected the move to Galicia to fail, as he would otherwise have ordered A Vie-Bud to follow up. To my mind, this indicates two possibilities: Britain: F Lon-Nth, F Edi-Nwg, F Egy-Eas, F Gib-MAO Charles: If I were France, the move to MAO would make me uncomfortable. However, it doesn't look like a full-fledged attack on France. Since the PM didn't follow up with a move to the Channel, it looks far more like part of an Anglo-French plan to get unentangled from each other. The PM may also be interested in sending that fleet to reinforce his presence in Egypt — although Portugal is guaranteed if he chooses that instead. France: A Par-Pic, F Bre-Gas, A Mar-Bur, A Alg-Mor Charles: It looks to me like the President has decided to gamble on peace with Britain and Italy while he attacks Germany, and it is paying off so far. He seems guaranteed builds from Morocco and Spain. The French fleet move to Gascony offers few tactical options, but leaves the armies free to focus on Belgium. France's move in that direction indicates the center will be a point of contention, and France is in position to toss the Germans out. Germany: A Ber-Kie, A Col-Bel, F Kie-Den, A Mun-Swi (fails) Charles: These are all fairly standard moves for Germany. However, France's move on Belgium leaves that space vulnerable, and it doesn't look like either Britain or Italy are interested in fighting the President. If the French arrangements with Britain and Italy go beyond non-aggression into an active alliance, the Kaiser may be in trouble. Italy: A Rom-Apu, A Mil-Swi (fails), F Nap-Ion Charles: It looks like Italy is going to convoy Army Apulia — most likely to Tripoli, although Greece is another possibility. That's good news for France in the short term, since it means the President doesn't face two armies bordering on Marseilles in the Fall. In the longer term, this strong presence in Africa may cause friction with France and/or Britain. Russia: F StP(sc)-GoB, A Mos-Ukr, F Sev-Rum, A War-Gal (fails) Charles: A strong move against Austria. However, it comes at the cost of letting the Turks into the Black Sea. If the Tsar was expecting Turkey to stay out, he could be facing an AT alliance — a more comfortable arrangement for Austria and Turkey in 1900 than it is in standard Diplomacy. Turkey: A Con-Mac, F Ank-Bla, A Dam hold Charles: The hold in Damascus raises some questions. I find it hard to believe it was an accident, but it doesn't seem to serve any obvious purpose. If Turkey were genuinely moving against Russia, a move to Armenia would be stronger. Even if Austria is the real target, an Army Armenia could be convoyed across the Black Sea to Bulgaria, putting immediate pressure on the Archduke. As it is, if Turkey takes Bulgaria it will have to be with the fleet, forcing the Sultan to rearrange his forces in 1901 if he wants to advance further. Commentator SummariesCharles: It seems to me that nobody has managed to get through the turn without some trouble looming on the horizon. Of course, that depends on what some moves actually mean. Overall I believe that Britain and France are in good shape so far, with Italy doing reasonably well too. Austria and Germany, however, may be facing hostile alliances. Russia and Turkey are in no immediate danger, but Britain could cause problems for both of them. Diplomatically, Britain and France seem to be on friendly terms (in spite of the uncomfortable move to MAO), as do France and Italy. Russia and Turkey also seem to be working together — although Turkey's moves are somewhat ambiguous. Austria is isolated in the Balkans, but may receive some much-needed help from Britain. Of course, it's very early yet. Any one of these apparent alliances may in fact be setting someone up for a stab... but only the Fall moves will tell. Chris: I have always loved the first turn of any diplomacy game. There’s a tabula rasa that can never be recovered after the first adjudication is published. Right now, Germany looks to be the one most interested in unringing the bell. The apparent B/F alliance shouldn’t be good news in Berlin; neither is a bounce with Italy in Switzerland. On the other side of the board, I’m having a harder time reading the strengths of Austria-Hungary, Russia and Turkey. Turkey’s opening is ambiguous, and may be thrown into confusion because of the British opening to the Eastern Mediterranean. If I had to rank powers by how good or bad of position they are in, as Charles discussed in his summary, I would say Britain and France are in the best shape, followed by Italy, with Germany dead last in worst shape. On the spectrum between Italy and Germany I would group the three powers of Austria-Hungary, Russia and Turkey. I would place Britain slightly better than France because of the occupation of the crucial Mid Atlantic Ocean. I’m a visual guy, so let me try this: Best Position <-- B -- F -- I ---- [A R T] ---- G --> Worst Position Fall 1900 |
HEADLINES:
PUBLIC PRESS:Dateline, Paris ... The French President announced today that efforts to avoid European conflict appear to have failed. After spring clashes in Switzerland and Galicia, autumn has brought escalation on all fronts. In his statement, the President declared that France is prepared to defend its citizens, and offered his hope that the war will be short lived and his confidence that it will end in victory for La Troisième République. Meanwhile, in Morocco, French troops shouting "Pour la colo!" solidified their occupation. Baltimore Times-Herald (Fall 1900 edition)
Nicolas Winthrop reporting from Monte Carlo. ORDERS:Austria-Hungary: A Tri – Ser , A Bud – Boh, A Ser – Bul
Britain: F Nth – Bel, F Nwg – Nwy, F Eas – Dam (failed), F Mid – Egy
France: A Pic s British F Nth – Bel, F Gas – Spa(nc), A Bur s Italian A Mil – Swi, A Mor h Chris: JT of France has the southwest corner of the map wrapped up for himself. Even with that being the case, one is forced to ask where is the growth in the next few years for France?, With the British in Belgium with French support and Robert of Italy in Switzerland with French support, the avenue eastward into Germany is now very narrow for deploying those multiple French armies. Alsace is not a broad front for growth. Germany: A Kie – Net, A Bel s A Kie – Net (cut, dislodged), F Den – Swe (failed), A Mun s Italian A Mil – Swi
Italy: A Apu – Ion – Trp, A Mil – Swi, F Ion c A Apu – Trp Chris: Both JT of France and Lynn of Germany supported Robert of Italy into Switzerland. What happens in 1901?Italy has some interesting decisions to make in the near future. Does the pair of French supports and the British distance from Tripolitania lead to B/F/I vs G? Or does the danger to Germany and the German support into Switzerland lead to B/F vs G/I? Russia: F GoB – Swe (failed), A Ukr – Sev (failed), F Rum s Austrian A Ser – Bul, A War – Sil
Turkey: A Mac – Gre, F Bla – Sev (failed), A Dam – Eas – Cyr (failed) Chris: This is a tough spot for Jonas of Turkey. Those paired British fleets are going to be a threat to Damascus. And the A/R coordination in the Balkans spells trouble on a second front. I’m not sure how he turns back Wayne of Britain from Damascus. In the Balkan triangle, we’ve already seen one reversal of alliances, so anything is possible. Can Chris of Austria-Hungary’s alliance be bought with a promise of Rumania… maybe even Sevastopol as well? I’d be making those offers? Similarly, can Robert of Italy be encouraged to make a play for Egypt with his paired North African units? That it itself can be dangerous long term to encourage Italian adventures in the Eastern Med, but the Sultan needs to explore any and all options. Commentator SummariesChris: If I had to rank powers by how good or bad of position they are in, as Charles and I did last season, I would say Britain is in the best shape, with Turkey and Germany in worst shape. I rate Germany’s position worse because it has four attackers, and not merely three as Turkey has. Elsewhere on the spectrum, I would place Britain better than France because of the ownership of Belgium cuts off France from meaningful growth at the expense of Germany. Similarly, I rate Austria-Hungary over Russia because of positioning for future growth appears better for Chris than for Mike. I place Italy only ahead of Germany and Turkey because of its relative apparent isolation; no power can do well early on without allies; this is still Diplomacy. Here’s my seasonal graphic: Best Position <-- B -- A -- F -- R -- I -- T -- G --> Worst Position Charles: This season has seen a few changes. I think the most dramatic has been Austria's improved position — from the Spring moves, I didn't expect that Austria and Russia would pair up against Turkey, and certainly not against Germany. The Franco-British alliance seems to be in full swing, and doesn't seem likely to fall apart any time soon. That potentially has long-term implications for Italy, even though there is not yet an overt threat. I'll be watching Italy's moves in 1901 with great interest. Russia isn't doing too well, but the country's weakness is manageable. If the Tsar has a good 1901, that should compensate for earlier problems. Germany and Turkey are in trouble. If the coalition opposing them sticks together, they will go down to defeat quickly. The trick will be to hang in there until the enemy alliance falls apart. Overall, I'm most impressed with Austria and France — they both seem to have done very well. Britain and Italy are both doing decently, but their forces are somewhat scattered, and I'm not clear where they can go next. Russia is wobbly, but not under immediate threat, and thus has time to recover. Germany and Turkey are the countries facing the greatest difficulties. Winter 1900 |
As a quick reminder, the house rules allow for conditional adjustments based upon the winter retreats since both the fall retreats and the winter adjustments are resolved in the same adjudication. In other words, players could submit different build orders according to where the German army Belgium retreated to. HEADLINES:
RETREATS:Germany: The dislodged A Bel retreats to Als. ADJUSTMENTS:Austria-Hungary: Builds A Vie and A Bud.
COMMENTS:Charles: I'm a bit surprised Austria didn't build in Trieste — the build in Budapest looks a bit threatening to Russia, though I don't really think the Archduke is terribly likely to attack him. The French fleet build in Brest is also interesting — where will it go? The Russian build indicates that Germany is the Tsar's main target. The other builds seem fairly standard, although Britain might have chosen to build a first army instead. Chris: The Austro-Hungarian build in Budapest and the Russian non-build in Sevastopol are making me want to revisit the prospects of an alliance reversal in the Balkans. Is Mike of Russia easing off on further offensives against Turkey? Is Chris of Austria-Hungary going to hit Rumania? Like Charles, I was struck by the French fleet build, but at the risk of continually harping on the same topic season after season, I’m not sure where another French army could be deployed in Metropolitan France. The next turns of the All Stars game are scheduled to appear in the Fall 2009 Movement issue. Be sure to see what happens next! |
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